Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Tropical Rundown



We're suddenly dealing with a swarm of disturbances that may develop into tropical cyclones. To avoid further confusion, here's a summary:

1.) A tropical wave (99L Invest) currently near the Cape Verde Islands may slowly develop over the coming days. 99L is approximately 7 days away from nearing the Caribbean islands.

2.) A tropical wave behind 99L is exiting the coast of Africa this morning. Several models indicate this wave will develop and become significantly more potent than 99L. This wave may also threaten the Caribbean islands within about 10 days.

3.) A wave that is much closer to home is entering the eastern Caribbean at this time. Conditions do not appear conducive for development. All models take this system into Central America.

4.) Yet another tropical wave currently situated between the Caribbean Islands and 99L may enter the Gulf of Mexico in 5-7 days. No model does much of anything with this system, but it will be monitored nonetheless. 

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    Jason Moreland is a meteorology undergraduate at the University of South Alabama. The blog has no set schedule. New blogs are typically posted time permitting and when the Atlantic tropics and Southeast US weather are active. The information posted here is unofficial and strictly personal opinion. Refer to National Weather Service and the National Hurricane Center for official forecasts.